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Showing posts with label Currency trading. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Currency trading. Show all posts

Friday, February 27, 2009

Is It Easy To Learn Forex Trading?

If I said NO would you keep reading? Many would move on searching for a site that claims to offer some “Easy Forex Trading System.” Well, the truth is, the continual barrage of sites with guru’s who sell the idea that trading is easy are actually making it harder than it needs to be. Learning to trade Forex profibably requires a bit of work and the right Forex education. Can you accept that? If so you have taken the first step; you are closer to trading profitably than anyone who is searching for some "easy Forex system."

The time and work you put in with our Forex training will quickly provide you with the foundation you need to make trading the Forex market a lucrative career. I teach methods that simplify trading, rather than adding complexity to an already complex situation. You will gain knowledge of stress-tested Forex strategies supplemented with Forex training which focusing on what really matters in currency trading market.

I’ve seen struggling Forex traders spend five or more years attempting to become profitable. Ironically, these are often the traders who started off searching for (and believing they would find) an easy Forex system which requires no work on their part. But what happens is they become consumed the massive tsunami of counterproductive and often over-complex Forex strategies that flood the Internet. Eventually they become discouraged and give up on Forex trading altogether. It does not have to be this way! The market follows predictable paths, but you have to learn its language and understand the underlying logic of methods you are using to trade.

The Bottom line is that I will sincerely do everything in my power to help you learn Forex and realize your financial goals. This site was created for this purpose and together we will empower you to achieve.

Monday, January 26, 2009

Dollar-Euro Currency Exchange

This article provides an overview of the factors affecting the leading currency pair: Euro-dollar exchange, commonly expressed as EUR/USD.

The euro to dollar exchange rate is the price at which the world demand for US dollars equals the world supply of euros. Regardless of geographical origin, a rise in the world demand for euros leads to an appreciation of the euro.

Factors affecting exchange ratesFour factors are identified as fundamental determinants of the real euro to dollar exchange rate:

* The international real interest rate differential
* Relative prices in the traded and non-traded goods sectors
* The real oil price
* The relative fiscal position

The nominal bilateral dollar to euro exchange is the exchange rate that attracts the most attention. Notwithstanding the comparative importance of euro to US dollar bilateral trade links, trade with the UK is, to some extent, more important for the Euro zone than is trade with the US. The dollar and the euro have a strong predisposition to run together in the very short run, but sometimes there can be significant discrepancies. The very strong appreciation of the dollar against the euro in 2003 is one example of these discrepancies.
In the long run, the correlation between the bilateral dollar to euro exchange rate, and different measures of the effective exchange rate of Euroland, has been rather high, especially if one looks at the effective real exchange rate. As inflation is at very similar levels in the US and the Euro area, there is no need to adjust the dollar to euro rate for inflation differentials, but because the Euro zone also trades intensively with countries that have relatively high inflation rates (e.g. some countries in Central and Eastern Europe, Turkey, etc.), it is more important to downplay nominal exchange rate measures by looking at relative price and cost developments.
The fall of the dollarThe steady and orderly decline of the dollar from early 2002 to early 2004 against the euro, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and a few other currencies (i.e., its trade-weighted average, which is what counts for purposes of trade adjustment), while significant, has still only amounted to about 10 percent.

There are two reasons why concerns about a free fall of the dollar should not be worth consideration. The first is that the US external deficit will stay high only if US growth remains vigorous. But if the US continues to grow strongly, it will also retain a strong attraction for foreign capital, which should support the dollar. The second reason is that the attempts by the monetary authorities in Asia to keep their currencies weak will probably not work.

The basic theories underlying the dollar to euro exchange rate:Law of One Price: In competitive markets free of transportation cost barriers to trade, identical products sold in different countries must sell at the same price when the prices are stated in terms of the same currency.
Interest rate effects:
If capital is allowed to flow freely, exchange rates become stable at a point where equality of interest is established.
The dual forces of supply and demand determine euro vs. dollar exchange rates. Various factors affect these two forces, which in turn affect the exchange rates:
The business environment:
Positive indications (in terms of government policy, competitive advantages, market size, etc.) increase the demand for the currency, as more and more enterprises want to invest there.
Stock market: The major stock indices also have a correlation with the currency rates.
Political factors: All exchange rates are susceptible to political instability and anticipations about the new government. For example, political or financial instability in Russia is also a flag for the euro to US dollar exchange because of the substantial amount of German investments directed to Russia.
Economic data:
Economic data such as labor reports (payrolls, unemployment rate and average hourly earnings), consumer price indices (CPI), producer price indices (PPI), gross domestic product (GDP), international trade, productivity, industrial production, consumer confidence etc., also affect fluctuations in currency exchange rates.
Confidence in a currency is the greatest determinant of the real euro-dollar exchange rate. Decisions are made based on expected future developments that may affect the currency. A EUR/USD exchange can operate under one of four main types of exchange rate systems:

Fully fixed exchange ratesIn a fixed exchange rate system, the government (or the central bank acting on its behalf) intervenes in the currency market in order to keep the exchange rate close to a fixed target. It is committed to a single fixed exchange rate and does not allow major fluctuations from this central rate.
Semi-fixed exchange ratesCurrency can move inside permitted ranges of fluctuation. The exchange rate is the dominant target of economic policy-making, interest rates are set to meet the target and the exchange rate is given a specific target.

Free floatingThe value of the currency is determined solely by market supply and demand forces in the foreign exchange market. Trade flows and capital flows are the main factors affecting the exchange rate. A floating exchange rate system: Monetary system in which exchange rates are allowed to move due to market forces without intervention by national governments. For example, the Bank of England does not actively intervene in the currency markets to achieve a desired exchange rate level. With floating exchange rates, changes in market demand and supply cause a currency to change in value. Pure free floating exchange rates are rare - most governments at one time or another seek to "manage" the value of their currency through changes in interest rates and other controls.
Managed floating exchange ratesGovernments normally engage in managed floating if not part of a fixed exchange rate system.
The advantages of fixed exchange rates are the disadvantages of floating rates:Fixed rates provide greater certainty for exporters and importers and, under normal circumstances, there is less speculative activity - although this depends on whether the dealers in the foreign exchange markets regard a given fixed exchange rate as appropriate and credible.
Advantages of floating exchange ratesFluctuations in the exchange rate can provide an automatic adjustment for countries with a large balance of payments deficit. A second key advantage of floating exchange rates is that it gives the government/monetary authorities flexibility in determining interest rates.

Exchange Rates

Because currencies are traded in pairs and exchanged one against the other when traded, the rate at which they are exchanged is called the exchange rate. The majority of the currencies are traded against the US dollar (USD). The four next-most traded currencies are the Euro (EUR), the Japanese yen (JPY), the British pound sterling (GBP) and the Swiss franc (CHF). These five currencies make up the majority of the market and are called the major currencies or "the Majors". Some sources also include the Australian dollar (AUD) within the group of major currencies.

The first currency in the exchange pair is referred to as the base currency and the second currency as the counter term or quote currency. The counter term or quote currency is thus the numerator in the ratio, and the base currency is the denominator. The value of the base currency (denominator) is always 1. Therefore, the exchange rate tells a buyer how much of the counter term or quote currency must be paid to obtain one unit of the base currency. The exchange rate also tells a seller how much is received in the counter term or quote currency when selling one unit of the base currency. For example, an exchange rate for EUR/USD of 1.2083 specifies to the buyer of euros that 1.2083 USD must be paid to obtain 1 euro.
At any given point, time and place, if an investor buys any currency and immediately sells it - and no change in the exchange rate has occurred - the investor will lose money. The reason for this is that the bid price, which represents how much will be received in the counter or quote currency when selling one unit of the base currency, is always lower than the ask price, which represents how much must be paid in the counter or quote currency when buying one unit of the base currency. For instance, the EUR/USD bid/ask currency rates at your bank may be 1.2015/1.3015, representing a spread of 1000 pips (also called points, one pip = 0.0001), which is very high in comparison to the bid/ask currency rates that online Forex investors commonly encounter, such as 1.2015/1.2020, with a spread of 5 pips. In general, smaller spreads are better for Forex investors since even they require a smaller movement in exchange rates in order to profit from a trade.

Margin

Banks and/or online trading providers need collateral to ensure that the investor can pay in case of a loss. The collateral is called the margin and is also known as minimum security in Forex markets. In practice, it is a deposit to the trader's account that is intended to cover any currency trading losses in the future.

Margin enables private investors to trade in markets that have high minimum units of trading by allowing traders to hold a much larger position than their account value. Margin trading also enhances the rate of profit, but can also enhance the rate of loss if the investor makes the wrong decision.

Leveraged financing

Leveraged financing, i.e., the use of credit, such as a trade purchased on a margin, is very common in Forex. The loan/leveraged in the margined account is collateralized by your initial deposit. This may result in being able to control USD 100,000 for as little as USD 1,000.

There are three ways private investors can trade in Forex directly or indirectly:

* The spot market * Forwards and futures * Options

A spot transaction

A spot transaction is a straightforward exchange of one currency for another. The spot rate is the current market price, also called the benchmark price. Spot transactions do not require immediate settlement, or payment "on the spot." The settlement date, or "value date," is the second business day after the "deal date" (or "trade date") on which the transaction is agreed to by the two traders. The two-day period provides time to confirm the agreement and arrange the clearing and necessary debiting and crediting of bank accounts in various international locations.

Forwards and Futures

Forwards make up about 46% of currency trading. A forward transaction is an agreement between two parties whereby one party buys a currency at a particular price by a certain date that is greater than two business days (a spot transaction).

A future contract is a forward contract with fixed currency amounts and maturity dates. They are traded on future exchanges and not through the interbank foreign exchange market.

Options

A currency option is similar to a futures contract in that it involves a fixed currency transaction at some future date in time. However the buyer of the option is only purchasing the right but not the obligation to purchase a fixed amount of currency at a fixed price by a certain date in future. The price is known as the premium and is lost if the buyer does not exercise the option.

Risks

Although Forex trading can lead to very profitable results, there are risks involved: exchange rate risks, interest rate risks, credit risks, and country risks. Approximately 80% of all currency transactions last a period of seven days or less, while more than 40% last fewer than two days. Given the extremely short lifespan of the typical trade, technical indicators heavily influence entry, exit and order placement decisions.

Friday, January 23, 2009

Forex Trading- The four key things to learn

Do you want to be a Forex Trader, a forex trading millionaire? Well then you have 4 hurdles that you must overcome and then Forex trading success is all yours.

Now we sill show you what the hurdles are and more importantly how to overcome them and then your in control of your own forex trading success. Lets look at some interesting statistics 95% of Forex traders lose money and most follow a robot or sure fire system, where they think their going to win with no effort and they lose. Think about if it was as simply as turning on a machine to make money, one would you sell it? No! If it was that easy everyone would be successful, not 95% fail. Success normally comes at a price, education which equates to spending time to learn and which gives you knowledge.

So if you want the success see the hurdles then overcome them.

1. Education= Knowledge, you don’t always have to work hard but sometimes smarter Firstly almost anyone can make money from trading Forex but most fall for the it’s easy, or the numerous myths and one of the commonest errors is that hard work guarantees success - it doesn’t. In forex trading you don’t get rewarded for effort, you get rewarded for being right and that’s it. Forex trading is very black and white, either you are right or you are wrong. There is a saying though the Market is never wrong. You can learn everything you need to know in a few weeks and get on the road to Forex trading success and the reason for this is Forex trading is simple to learn if you do it the right way. Understand the market and what is required.

2. Find a Method that works and Stick it-

So many people come up with systems that start working and then they want to change it, make it better, does it get any better than working, than making you money? Isn’t this what we all want to achieve. So the first point to keep in mind is simple Forex trading strategies work better than complex ones and the reason is you are dealing with an odds based market and simple systems are more robust than complicated ones, with fewer elements to break.

Point Two- Throw away the Crystal Ball and Stop trying to Predict the Market!

This is simply hoping or guessing and you won’t be rewarded for that. You should trade the reality of price change on a chart and a great method to use is breakout methodology. It’s simple to understand, easy to learn and makes huge profits. So many people get in losing trades and then they become hope traders, I hope it goes up, wrong if you hope you know you should cut the trade and move on

3. Can’t Pick a Winning- Dealing with Failure- Deal with failure well and you can become a success

This is the hard part of Forex trading, forget all you have read from vendors of forex robots and sure fire systems that losses can always be small and last just a few days, this is not the reality. The reality is the market is going to hand you losses for weeks on end at some point and its in this period, you need to keep your losses small and keep trading your trading signals, as the market takes your money and makes you look a fool. You need to trade through these periods until you hit profits again. Think it’s easy? You probably haven’t traded, its tough to keep going and to do this you need the following key trait.

4. Golden Key to Success- Discipline- Stick your rules

To trade through losing periods, you must have the discipline to keep going - it’s the key to success. If you think about it, if you don’t have the discipline to rigidly apply your system, you don’t have one. You are a hope trade and sure enough you will go broke. Discipline is not easy, but is certainly worth learning. The way to achieve discipline is through the right Forex education and confidence in what you’re doing and the courage to apply your method.

Anyone Can Win Become a Winner

Anyone can win at Forex trading if they get the right education and overcome the above obstacles and when you have done this you could be making big Forex profits and earning a great second or even life changing income, in around 30 minutes a day. Or you can find a great forex broker that can help make you money, if you are looking for a Forex Broker then the CFD FX REPORT has recently researched Forex Brokers and have come up with who they believe to be the Best Forex Broker in the market.

 
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