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Wednesday, January 21, 2009

US Open: Sterling Price Action Once Again Takes Center Stage

With the exception of Sterling, the story in the overnight session was one of relative stability and consolidation following yesterday’s flight to safety price action.

US Open With the exception of Sterling, the story in the overnight session was one of relative stability and consolidation following yesterday’s flight to safety price action. An article in today’s London Times entitled "Mervyn King paves way to start BoE print presses" set the tone for the initial GBP weakness with the currency also weighed down by yet another wave of selling in the local equity markets on more uncertainty over the outlook for the UK banking sector. Various names on the offer overnight included some corporate and real money accounts. In Euroland, ECB President Trichet has been on the wires this morning talking more about the outlook and challenges for the ECB and Eurozone economy. Trichet has addressed any concerns over the talk of a potential Euro breakup saying that these rumors are unfounded. The more balanced outlook and approach out from the ECB over the past several months in the face of the current global turmoil continues to be a great benefit to the Euro against Sterling with the cross once again mounting impressive gains over the past few days, looking to retest the recent life-time highs by 0.9800.USD/JPY action has been quiet thus far today with the market trading by 90.00 as a reported $7B option barrier is set to roll off today at the New York cut. Stable equity futures and unchanged commodity prices have helped to keep the antipodeans flat overnight with Aussie trading a fraction lower on the day, while Kiwi is slightly better bid primarily on the back of the better than expected overnight retail sales data coming in flat versus a -1.2% consensus. USD/CAD has given back some of its gains following yesterday’s as expected Bank of Canada decision to cut rates by 50bps to 1.00%. However, with a plethora of option expiries set to roll off here as well, the market isn’t expected to move all that much until the New York cut. There is not a lot ofevent risk on the table today with Canadian wholesale sales (1.5% expected) due up at 13:30 GMT followed by US NAHB housing data (9 expected) later in the day at 18:00 GMT.

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